Climate change, growth, and California wildfire

Title
Climate change, growth, and California wildfire
Abstract
Large wildfire occurrence and burned area are modeled using hydroclimate and landsurface characteristics under a range of future climate and development scenarios. The range of uncertainty for future wildfire regimes is analyzed over two emissions pathways (the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios [SRES] A2 and B1 scenarios); three global climate models (Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques CM3, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory CM21 and National Center for Atmospheric Research PCM2); a mid-range scenario for future population growth and development footprint; two model specifications related to the uncertainty over the speed and timing with which vegetation characteristics will shift their spatial distributions in response to trends in climate and disturbance; and two thresholds for defining the wildland-urban interface relative to housing density. Results were assessed for three 30-year time periods centered on 2020, 2050, and 2085, relative to a 30-year reference period centered on 1975. (continued)
Originator Name
Westerling, A.L., et al. 2009. California Climate Change Center. California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA.
Links
www.energy.ca.gov/2009publications/CEC-500-2009-F…
Location
Global or not applicable
Keywords
Climate, Climate Change, Hydrology, Wildfire
Resource Type
Document
Resource Owner
Pax

To the owner of Climate change, growth, and California wildfire

1 file